Matt Pavelle

Texas Hold 'Em Draw Probability

After the flop odds of winning based on outs:

Drawing To Outs Turn River Both
Prob. Odds Prob. Odds Prob. Odds
Inside straight flush
Four of a kind
1 0.0213 46.0:1 0.0217 45.0:1 0.0426 22.5:1
Open-ended straight flush
Three of a kind
2 0.0426 22.5:1 0.0435 22.0:1 0.0842 10.9:1
High pair 3 0.0638 14.7:1 0.0652 14.3:1 0.1249 7.01:1
Inside straight
Full house
4 0.0851 10.8:1 0.0870 10.5:1 0.1647 5.07:1
Three of a kind or two pair 5 0.1064 8.40:1 0.1087 8.20:1 0.2035 3.91:1
Either pair 6 0.1277 6.83:1 0.1304 6.67:1 0.2414 3.14:1
Full house or four of a kind
Inside straight or high pair
7 0.1489 5.71:1 0.1522 5.57:1 0.2784 2.59:1
Open-ended straight 8 0.1702 4.88:1 0.1739 4.75:1 0.3145 2.18:1
Flush 9 0.1915 4.22:1 0.1957 4.11:1 0.3497 1.86:1
Inside straight or pair 10 0.2128 3.70:1 0.2174 3.60:1 0.3839 1.60:1
Open-ended straight or high pair 11 0.2340 3.27:1 0.2391 3.18:1 0.4172 1.40:1
Inside straight or flush
Flush or high pair
12 0.2553 2.92:1 0.2609 2.83:1 0.4496 1.22:1
13 0.2766 2.62:1 0.2826 2.54:1 0.4810 1.08:1
Open-ended straight or pair 14 0.2979 2.36:1 0.3043 2.29:1 0.5116 0.955:1
Open-ended straight or flush
Flush or pair
Inside straight, flush or high pair
15 0.3191 2.13:1 0.3261 2.07:1 0.5412 0.848:1
16 0.3404 1.94:1 0.3478 1.88:1 0.5698 0.755:1
17 0.3617 1.76:1 0.3696 1.71:1 0.5976 0.673:1
Inside straight or flush or pair
Open-ended straight, flush or high pair
18 0.3830 1.61:1 0.3913 1.56:1 0.6244 0.601:1
19 0.4043 1.47:1 0.4130 1.42:1 0.6503 0.538:1
20 0.4255 1.35:1 0.4348 1.30:1 0.6753 0.481:1
Open-ended straight, flush or pair 21 0.4468 1.24:1 0.4565 1.19:1 0.6994 0.430:1